Final Score: Phillies 2 - Mets 6
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
46-36 Rating 1555
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Mets
34-48 Rating 1482
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 480 495
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 82 82
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 56% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 44%