Final Score: Phillies 5 - Mets 4
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
46-37 Rating 1552
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Mets
35-48 Rating 1484
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 480 496
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 83 83
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 55% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 45%