Final Score: Pirates 0 - Phillies 8
Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
43-42 Rating 1480
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
47-38 Rating 1552
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 340 324
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 11 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 85 85
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 51% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%