Final Score: Phillies 6 - Royals 1
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Phillies @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 18 | 12 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 10 |
| Stat | Phillies | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 88 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 43% |
Recent Results
Phillies
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ New York Mets
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 23
14-9
Royals
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 23
1-22
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1