Final Score: Royals 2 - Rays 13
Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET

Royals @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
34-47 Rating 1473
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
44-33 Rating 1512
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Rays
All-time wins 96 106
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Rays
Games played 81 77
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 69%