Final Score: Royals 12 - Rays 5
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Royals @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
33-46 Rating 1472
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
43-32 Rating 1513
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Rays
All-time wins 95 105
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Rays
Games played 79 75
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 70%