Final Score: Royals 2 - Rays 1
Monday, June 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Royals @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
32-46 Rating 1470
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
43-31 Rating 1515
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Rays
All-time wins 94 105
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 0 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Rays
Games played 78 74
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 41% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 72%