Final Score: Royals 3 - Rays 5
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Royals @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
34-46 Rating 1475
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
43-33 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Rays
All-time wins 96 105
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 12 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Rays
Games played 80 76
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.4
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 68%