Final Score: Pirates 6 - Phillies 1
Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET
Pirates @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 340 | 326 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 10 |
| Stat | Pirates | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 56% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
Phillies
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ New York Mets
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ New York Mets
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 23
14-9
@ Washington Nationals
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4