Final Score: Phillies 0 - Royals 0
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET

Phillies @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
37-31 Rating 1550
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Royals
28-41 Rating 1471
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Royals
All-time wins 18 12
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.5 5.0
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Royals
Games played 68 69
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.6
Win percentage 54% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 46%