Final Score: Phillies 1 - Royals 15
Monday, July 6, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
50-40 Rating 1552
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Royals
36-54 Rating 1464
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Royals
All-time wins 19 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.4 4.9
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Royals
Games played 90 90
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.0
Win percentage 56% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 43%