Final Score: Royals 16 - Mets 12
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Royals @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Royals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 14 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Royals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 91 | 91 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 44% |
Recent Results
Royals
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 16
15-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 23
1-22
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
Mets
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 17
3-14
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2