Final Score: Mets 10 - Braves 9
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET
Mets @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 391 | 442 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 14 |
| Stat | Mets | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 89 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 37% | 63% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 17
3-14
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
Braves
vs New York Mets
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 17
14-3
vs New York Mets
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7