Final Score: Mets 3 - Blue Jays 9
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET

Mets @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
36-50 Rating 1483
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.5
Blue Jays
40-46 Rating 1514
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Blue Jays
All-time wins 28 18
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.1
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Blue Jays
Games played 86 86
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 42% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 48%