Final Score: Astros 2 - Blue Jays 4
Monday, June 22, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET

Astros @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
37-42 Rating 1509
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Blue Jays
38-39 Rating 1527
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Blue Jays
All-time wins 48 37
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 3.8
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Blue Jays
Games played 79 77
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.4
Win percentage 47% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 54%