Final Score: Astros 9 - Blue Jays 7
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 4:07 PM ET

Astros @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
37-43 Rating 1508
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Blue Jays
39-39 Rating 1529
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Blue Jays
All-time wins 48 38
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 3.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Blue Jays
Games played 80 78
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.4
Win percentage 46% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 55%