Final Score: Tigers 2 - Astros 4
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
30-43 Rating 1482
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
34-41 Rating 1506
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Astros
All-time wins 45 53
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Astros
Games played 73 75
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.1
Win percentage 41% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 46%