Final Score: Tigers 2 - Astros 4
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
30-42 Rating 1483
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
33-41 Rating 1504
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Astros
All-time wins 45 52
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Astros
Games played 72 74
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.1
Win percentage 42% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 44%