Final Score: Astros 3 - Blue Jays 1
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET

Astros @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
38-43 Rating 1510
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Blue Jays
39-40 Rating 1526
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Blue Jays
All-time wins 49 38
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 3.8
Last meeting 9 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Blue Jays
Games played 81 79
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.5
Win percentage 47% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 54%