Final Score: Blue Jays 2 - Mariners 0
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Mariners

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
41-46 Rating 1516
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Seattle Mariners +0.3
Mariners
45-43 Rating 1522
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Mariners
All-time wins 232 214
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Mariners
Games played 87 88
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 47% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 57%