Final Score: Mariners 5 - Guardians 6
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Mariners @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
42-42 Rating 1520
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.3
Guardians
43-40 Rating 1521
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Guardians
All-time wins 210 253
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.8
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Guardians
Games played 84 83
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.0
Win percentage 50% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 53%