Final Score: Blue Jays 0 - Mariners 11
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 233 | 214 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 0 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 89 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 56% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs New York Mets
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs New York Mets
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs New York Mets
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Houston Astros
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Houston Astros
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
Mariners
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2