Final Score: Braves 2 - Padres 5
Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Braves @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
48-30 Rating 1534
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Padres
41-37 Rating 1529
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Padres
All-time wins 373 305
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Padres
Games played 78 78
Avg runs scored 4.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 62% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 52%