Final Score: Cardinals 11 - Braves 5
Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Cardinals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
44-39 Rating 1501
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.5
Braves
50-34 Rating 1529
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Braves
All-time wins 276 264
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Braves
Games played 83 84
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.7
Win percentage 53% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 62%