Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Cardinals 3
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
39-39 Rating 1502
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.3
Cardinals
42-34 Rating 1507
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Cardinals
All-time wins 75 118
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 5.1
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Cardinals
Games played 78 76
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.6
Win percentage 50% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 56%