Final Score: Marlins 1 - Cardinals 2
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

Marlins @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
44-39 Rating 1499
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.2
Cardinals
42-38 Rating 1498
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cardinals
All-time wins 96 139
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 4.6
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cardinals
Games played 83 80
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.6
Win percentage 53% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 51%