Final Score: Rangers 4 - Marlins 6
Tuesday, June 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Rangers @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
38-40 Rating 1496
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
40-39 Rating 1491
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Marlins
All-time wins 20 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.6 4.9
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Marlins
Games played 78 79
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.3
Win percentage 49% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 60%