Final Score: Rangers 4 - Marlins 3
Monday, June 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Rangers @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
37-40 Rating 1494
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Marlins
40-38 Rating 1494
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Marlins
All-time wins 19 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.6 4.9
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Marlins
Games played 77 78
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.3
Win percentage 48% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 62%