Final Score: Marlins 5 - Cardinals 1
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Marlins @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
43-39 Rating 1497
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.3
Cardinals
42-37 Rating 1501
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cardinals
All-time wins 95 139
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 4.6
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cardinals
Games played 82 79
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.6
Win percentage 52% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 52%