Final Score: Royals 2 - Mets 6
Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Royals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
38-54 Rating 1469
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.4
Mets
38-54 Rating 1481
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Mets
All-time wins 17 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 16 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Mets
Games played 92 92
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.8
Win percentage 41% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 43%