Final Score: Rays 4 - Royals 0
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Rays @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
49-33 Rating 1521
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.3
Royals
35-51 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Royals
All-time wins 108 96
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Royals
Games played 82 86
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.1
Win percentage 60% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 45%