Final Score: Diamondbacks 1 - Rays 5
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
41-41 Rating 1503
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
47-33 Rating 1517
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Rays
All-time wins 11 22
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.8 5.0
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Rays
Games played 82 80
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 50% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 71%