Final Score: Rays 5 - Royals 2
Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET
Rays @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 109 | 96 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 0 |
| Stat | Rays | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 83 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 44% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 15
13-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Royals
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -21 · Total: 23
1-22
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 22
10-12