Final Score: Orioles 3 - Reds 0
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
40-48 Rating 1488
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Reds
40-46 Rating 1488
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Reds
All-time wins 18 11
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 5.2
Last meeting 2 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Reds
Games played 88 86
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.9
Win percentage 45% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 46%