Final Score: Nationals 1 - Orioles 3
Friday, June 26, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
41-41 Rating 1465
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.5
Orioles
38-44 Rating 1494
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Orioles
All-time wins 57 65
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.1
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Orioles
Games played 82 82
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.3 5.0
Win percentage 50% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 54%