Final Score: Nationals 4 - Orioles 3
Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Nationals @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 57 | 66 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 3 |
| Stat | Nationals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 83 | 83 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 55% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 23
9-14
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
Orioles
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 16, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3