Final Score: White Sox 1 - Orioles 6
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 12:35 PM ET

White Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
45-39 Rating 1445
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.7
Orioles
39-48 Rating 1487
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Orioles
All-time wins 243 291
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Orioles
Games played 84 87
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.0
Win percentage 54% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 50%