Final Score: White Sox 5 - Guardians 6
Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

White Sox @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
45-40 Rating 1444
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +1.0
Guardians
45-42 Rating 1520
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Guardians
All-time wins 405 418
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Guardians
Games played 85 87
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 53% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 52%