Final Score: White Sox 3 - Guardians 4
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

White Sox @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
45-41 Rating 1442
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +1.0
Guardians
46-42 Rating 1522
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Guardians
All-time wins 405 419
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Guardians
Games played 86 88
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 52% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 53%