Final Score: White Sox 3 - Guardians 1
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
White Sox @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | White Sox | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 405 | 420 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | White Sox | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 89 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 55% |
Recent Results
White Sox
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 23
22-1
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Guardians
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2