Final Score: White Sox 7 - Guardians 6
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

White Sox @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
White Sox
46-42 Rating 1443
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +1.0
Guardians
47-43 Rating 1521
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat White Sox Guardians
All-time wins 406 420
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat White Sox Guardians
Games played 88 90
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.0
Win percentage 52% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 53%