Final Score: Red Sox 8 - White Sox 1
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ White Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
40-48 Rating 1507
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
White Sox
47-42 Rating 1446
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox White Sox
All-time wins 278 252
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox White Sox
Games played 88 89
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.5
Win percentage 45% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 67%