Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Angels 2
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 9:38 PM ET

Red Sox @ Angels

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
37-48 Rating 1502
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Angels
36-52 Rating 1440
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Angels
All-time wins 310 258
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Angels
Games played 85 88
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.0
Win percentage 44% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 49%