Final Score: Yankees 3 - Red Sox 6
Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-31 Rating 1562
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Red Sox
32-46 Rating 1496
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 473 446
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 79 78
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.0
Win percentage 61% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 32%