Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 5
Sunday, June 28, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-34 Rating 1555
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.3
Red Sox
35-46 Rating 1503
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 473 449
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 82 81
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 3.9
Win percentage 59% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 38%