Final Score: Nationals 10 - Red Sox 2
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Nationals @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 30 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 1 |
| Stat | Nationals | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 84 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 40% |
Recent Results
Nationals
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 23
9-14
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Red Sox
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs New York Yankees
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3