Final Score: Red Sox 8 - Angels 1
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 9:38 PM ET

Red Sox @ Angels

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
38-48 Rating 1503
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Angels
36-53 Rating 1438
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Angels
All-time wins 311 258
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Angels
Games played 86 89
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.0
Win percentage 44% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 48%