Final Score: Orioles 0 - Reds 0
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
33-37 Rating 1496
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Reds
32-35 Rating 1490
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Reds
All-time wins 18 11
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 5.2
Last meeting 2 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Reds
Games played 70 67
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.1
Win percentage 47% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%