Final Score: Orioles 8 - Reds 5
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 19 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 0 |
| Stat | Orioles | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 89 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 45% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
Reds
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2