Final Score: Phillies 4 - Tigers 2
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Phillies @ Tigers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 15 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 10 |
| Stat | Phillies | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 94 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 56% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
Tigers
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Athletics
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Athletics
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Athletics
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ New York Yankees
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New York Yankees
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ New York Yankees
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3