Final Score: Mets 1 - Phillies 6
Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 3:05 PM ET
Mets @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 497 | 481 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 98 | 98 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 42% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 53% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 16, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 28
12-16
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 17
3-14
Phillies
vs New York Mets
Jul 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1